Real happiness lies in gratitude.


QURAN IN ENGLISH - The most important book that everybody should read.

Thursday 15 December 2016

Mental and charts

Today is Friday, and I like to ramble today..

Trader like me has 2 common problems:

1) Trading idea - or lack of it.
2) Trading fatigue - tonned of it.

Trading idea is like a concept of when to enter and when to exit.
Trading idea need to be produce in charts, as accurate as possible.
You need to know how to use the software, or hire a programmer.
If it cant be produce in charts, its all in the mind, and we call it discretionary.

Trading fatigue is when the trader's mind cant compute or trade following the plan.
He knows the rule but simply broken it, over and over again.
If the market consist of thousand trading minds, so the market also can be wrong.
But the market is might, and might is right.

So, the only hope is to focusing on producing trading idea into charts signals.
(Or, has a mind made of steel, not organic matter)
Now the brain can use its all strength to just follow the signal on charts.
The plan.
While trading, don't think, just follow the signals.
Be like a zombie in the zone.
Do it first, think later.

Difficult isn't it. We like to think first.


Monday 12 December 2016

Tuesday 22 November 2016

wrong place at wrong time..not using POP rule 1

and I have flu.. perfect
my overall direction was correct but the timing all wrong..
decided to use dummy tactic as below and
 sim in next session to test it out

Thursday 17 November 2016

Tuesday 15 November 2016

-13 + 5 : nett --8 tikc

Not following rules..well damn hard to follow it.
All trades this past 3 week were LIVE trades

Monday 14 November 2016

3 TRADES > 9 TIKCS

Dancing with Wolves ..
I hd shorts in mind but mkt want to touch home
base  before short without me in


Friday 11 November 2016

range mkt but still got 5 tk in 1 trade

trading is boring.
waiting for setup, enter,
feel the mkt.
exit.

btw : Good Luck TRump

Monday 7 November 2016

2 trades > ++2tks...

use Pop Rule 1 when price not moving right.
then a mistake using join order, not mkt order to short ..as mkt moved away fast.
This mistakes cost a lot of opportunity to profit.

Thursday 3 November 2016

Lose 1st trade , won 2 nd trade ..nett --5t

This is exactly as before.
So I delete 1 identified obscure trading plan.
Nonetheless, I looked fwd to next session and felt satisfied with all these recent live tradings.

Tuesday 1 November 2016

- 11 t & ++ 8 t = nett -- 3 tkcs

including comm so lost like 5 t in range mkt.
1st trade dont follow rule - damn forgot to look at it. So now I hang it over the screens.
2nd trade - follow the rule but not holding it to get more.as became nervous.

Monday 31 October 2016

++ 3 t

confused mkt, but got 3 t in hit and run.

Action : To put 2 in  one chart.

Thursday 27 October 2016

Tuesday 25 October 2016

++ 2 ticks

Entry on rules but price dont move as fast as expected. Applied Phantom rule 1..martket then choppy a bit then follow the original path.

Rule 1 : In a losing game such as trading, we shall start against the majority and assume we are wrong until proven correct! (We do not assume we are correct until proven wrong.) Positions established must be reduced and removed until or unless the market proves the position correct! (We allow the market to verify correct positions.)

Monday 24 October 2016

Thursday 20 October 2016

+8 ticks

after waited for nearly 2 hours..Ok going to sleep. Its night here in Malaysia.

Tuesday 18 October 2016

Wednesday 12 October 2016

Follow the rule

Enter the market  via join the sell, not market sell...missed the entry by 1 tick.
Luck.
But, the good news is it making sense now.
No feeling "sterile".HAHA

2moro EIA..will look AFTER the report

Monday 10 October 2016

Its moving moving - but am stucked with no position

After this I will follow twitter feeds #crudeoil  to know background stories. Technical charts are ok but my brain seems need reasoning to follow through. Probably this is a key factor for me. Need to try.
In this case the news are Putin and Saudi Minister will try to improve price, and look at the rocket.

Friday 7 October 2016

Conflict of 1 word

I wrote my trading rule in 1 small calling card..
I wrote "break"..
Instead of "break of ema,  I changed it to "pullback near ema..
A lot of difference...
No wonder my brain cant pull the trigger .
Wrong code .:)

Saturday 24 September 2016

Arrival of new trading PC


My 2nd trading PC (the codename is 16)  is equipped with i5 6500, 8GB RAM Kingston HyperX, Asus B150M-A with 3 screens (now use 2 only), Samsung SSD 850 Evo, Windows 10 64 bit, Seasonic 620watt PSU and Cooler Master Silencio 452......It looked like a Darth Vader 

My Old PC (the codename is 9)  since 2009 Win XP is still operating but will be hand over to my son to study online.

Sierra and Infinity upgrading their software to Win 10.
This is another proof that I follow the trend . 
In more serious note, it showed that I'am confident enough to stay in the game.

Monday 19 September 2016

Tuesday 2 August 2016

No trades for a while

My younger son will sit for a big exam , and I need to teach him a few...
His teachers are not enough for him...hmm

Tuesday 12 July 2016

Catching up Market

Market rhythm changed again, and now back to SIM for a while for warming up sessions

Monday 27 June 2016

Brexit

Some forex traders collapsed with Brexit.
Brexit is like EIA CL report..and BIGGER.
Dont mess with it. The RISK is too HIGH.

Monday 20 June 2016

Lamp Bulb

No trade next 3 weeks
- Same chart but 2 frame >  5 and 3 minutes
Choppy mkt - set bracket target to 10
Trend mkt - no target, only moving stop

Friday 3 June 2016

No trade

Big candles stacked together meant that the market is like a shark's JAWS.
One look at them... then closed PC

Wednesday 1 June 2016

2 chances(31 May)

1st at before opening, missed it as am out station - thinking it will be like a regular Wednesday EIA. Forgot that holiday had freshen up traders.
2nd.. signal happen near ema but  have doubt of it caused of lack of "market structure"... then it gone before I have time to think further.
IMHO, market structure strategy HH LL has little value in CL and today action pointed it again.

Thursday 26 May 2016

+ 6 t

I follow my 1st rule - follow the ema.
Tough to follow, but at least i have no loss and got xtra profit.

1st rule - follow ema done.
2nd rule - target close at OHLC line.

Tuesday 24 May 2016

-10 ticks even though direction was correct

Tight stop and need to use extra 2 ticks.
Short direction was correct but proved too soon with tight stops.
However the 10 ticks lesson was not lost.
Now I knew the timing of using it and type of chart that superior for me - OHLC bars
ps. Again,: I need to follow that EMA

Thursday 19 May 2016

No trade - doji & line..then + 5tick

played tic tac with mkt +5tikcs -- testing doji at line (samewith the left)..then close pc

Monday 16 May 2016

CL entering new high -- -8ticks

Again, profit on paper 6 tick then vanished ended with -8 ticks.
As market made new high -- it want to go high yet I'm trying pullbacks.
Easier to make money in CL following the trend, most of the time.
You better not trying to be a hero with CL.
So dont ignore that damn ema line for CL.

Thursday 12 May 2016

-7 tikcs

1st trade cutloss was too tight, now adjusted...loss 7tikcs..then came 2nd setup I 'm guessing the validty even itis a totally diff setup and also the 3rd setup. Obvious that I'm shaken after 1st trade , also the body is not that fit today -0 can affect the mind..Next...

(POST TRADE ANALYSIS- DIVERGENCE SET UP IS NOT THE KEY, THE KEY IS THE MAROBOZU ENGULFING CANDLE)


post trade chart below - the whole truth that totally invisble before, too late after the fact...

Tuesday 10 May 2016

2 trades = 16 ticks

post trade chart - seemed I lost opportunity in 2nd trade..
from now on I use candle and bar - bar chart for closing price, candle easier pattern spot.
I closed pc as I feel the market sluggish..- I'm correct before close pc but wrong after it - the market move fast..quite frequent this happened to me...I saw the cloud but cant see the silVer - a moment gone forever.

Friday 6 May 2016

-7

Breakdown of horizontal line...positive 12 tick before quickly reversed minus 7 ticks.
Possibly still moved by news like yesterday
Just not my day..next week

Thursday 5 May 2016

No trade -- news driven CL

One of the most difficult trading session for me as news Of Canadian fire driven the market.
Seems market digesting the news several ways of ups & downs.
Technicals are not clear cut for news driven - like EIA report.

Tuesday 3 May 2016

No trade, last minute +6

Market making move while I'm barely has 1 minute arrived to read properly - missed entry short
Had to wait nearly 4 hrs to get 6ticks. Alhamdulillah

Friday 22 April 2016

Practsing right direction +6

I left the other ticks as I donna want to risk my mini account.
I will collect  it up later..

Thursday 21 April 2016

DOM Live but Chart in SIM

I trade thru chart but no order recorded in DOM..
I called broker in panic .....
1st 2 call cant reach them becaouse no double 00 infront of code 1 +  xxxxxxxxxx
they said no record of live trade..sigh..
Then I checked that my chart is in internal SIM mode...
My real profit of 6 ticks is gone..
LUCK...where are u ?



Monday 18 April 2016

If I wait for another 10 min..a setup is ready and money will come...

If ..If ...If ...sigh :)
It must past 10:30am NY or 11:  before closing..

And my broker told me the reason that my chart freeze is that I use a dinosaur computer - XP,  2 core..
After I win USD 2000, I will change that to Window 10 and Quad core, and to prove that I follow trend ..I will use Solid State hard disk..haha

Thursday 14 April 2016

Tuesday 12 April 2016

market Structure gone

1st trade +1 t
2nd trade -7 t - right direction but stop too tight - however I maintained the stop.
Market crazy today -- too "high" on opium I supposed.
To do : maintain 5 min for 1st hour opening.
Next Thu.

post trade

Thursday 7 April 2016

Chart Frozen for 3 days - come and go

Trading is hard enough.
Even superman cant trade thru frozen chart
Contacted broker and chart provider - still there
Googling for public records years ago looking for solution.
Year 2013 somebody said that - UNtick hibernation on computer.
Hope it works.

Wednesday 6 April 2016

market flat range

Lowest price in weeks...
CL looking for strength for climbing later..

Tuesday 22 March 2016

Trading thought

Market move based on 2 behaviour:

1) Rational
2) Irrational

So , I should use my brain to trade during rational market
And, automate indicator will warn me during IrratIonal part, like radar
 -- How a reasonable man deal with the mad one ?

Monday 14 March 2016

Tuesday 8 March 2016

Eager to trade

but internet problem due to crash of microsoft net 4.
I had my computer defrag earlier and it made my chart disconnect.
Blah !

Monday 7 March 2016

Monday

Market structure is gone now in CL.
So ,,,
Good move to look at chart after 9 am itchy movement.
My trading chart is so cluttered with lines, so
I need another clean chart with only 1 lines to pair with it for 2nd opinion.
Yeay !

Friday 4 March 2016

Trading schedule

I will trade based on this new schedule:

1) Wed : After report EIA
2) Thu : After 9am (market move far after EIA, expecting choopy before 9am Thu)

Thursday 3 March 2016

Follow plan but got 9am itchy reaction

it is best to avoid 9am nowdays..wait few minutes after or far before 9am
+ bad - further away from crossings

Tuesday 1 March 2016


bad > Not wait to close,
bad> further from crossing
insidebar valid (2)
good > cut lose, POP rule

Thursday 25 February 2016

No trades and adapting.

And now I'm adapting nearer to CL.
I found that in choppy situations, its ideal to use candlestick.
For trend , its better to use bars.
I open a new chart tab for candlesticks and choose which tab to use.
In war, if you fight the enemy long enough, the enemy will adapt.

Wednesday 24 February 2016

About previous post of Money managemnt

Thinking over the post , and based on my experience,
if you have a good MM - later you'll find that you're losing slowly, as you cut loss fast. Money management - to use an anlogy of soccer.. is a kind like defense players and goalkeeper.
So, this MM is a defensive part and it's only 50% of full equation
Another 50%, in soccer..is like midfield and striker players. Miedlfield is overall environmnet and striker is the actual trade trigger -- In trading, its call, an edge. The offensive side.
Both MM and edge are important. Defensive and offensive.
Myself  - has good MM but my edge is mediocre or weak at this moment.
And Funny, my brain cracking an offensive tool on my chart while i'am thinking about this.
Thank you to the writer.

http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?members/chubbly.488786/


To think later on this post at Elite Trader
****************************

I posted these thoughts in an unrelated thread but they would have been more appropriate here.

Money Management is the most important thing you can do because you have 100% control of it. You have 0% control if a stock/currency/derivative goes up or down. Sit and think about that for a long time.
MM is 1000x more important than doing T.A. I actually never look at charts. T.A is for fools who think they can predict the future. They will claim they that predicted moves. Guess what a price can only do 2 things, go up or go down. There is no third dimension it can go into!
So someone doing TA should be right at least 50% of the time. People remember the times they were right and suppress the memories of when they were wrong which skews their thoughts.

If you use TA and are wrong 50% or more of the time and losing money sit and think about that for a very, very long time. I would suggest not trading again till you have come up with an answer.
Draw enough lines on a chart and you will see price react to them

Think about this. With absolutely no TA I could enter 1000 total random positions, 500 would immediately become winners. As I said if you do TA and lose more than 50% of the time there is something seriously wrong with your understanding of trading and MM

Here is a good exercise that I used to do with forex to sharpen my skills. Take the 32 main pairs. Randomly buy and sell so you are 16 buys/16 sells.
Now manage the trades as you see fit, do whatever it takes but NEVER EVER look at the charts!! only look at the total P/L
Do this over and over and over and over until you realize that you can become profitable using only MM. Remember you will be immediately profitable on 50% of the positions by doing absolutely nothing.
The first few times are hard. But you have to bend your mind and think differently.
NEVER look at the charts, human brains are wired to look for patterns. 
The results will be enlightening and profitable for those who are willing to take on the endeavour.

One more thing for the TA people. Consider this, Steve Nisson is considered to be the father of candlestick analysis having brought them to N.A from Japan and written many books about it.

Yet he does not trade..... 

You would think the man who is the master of candlestick patterns would be able to use his knowledge and use the markets like he is raiding a piggy bank

Yet he does not trade.....

If the Master of chart analysis does not trade what hope do you have?

This was one of the critical pieces of information that I learned and I stopped using charts and then I became profitable.
The only thing I look at are option chains

Tuesday 23 February 2016

Traders common problem - (Brain - trading plan - chart settings - execution)

Brain fatigue will spoil a well laid out good trading plan.
Thats why some traders need automation.

Good trading plan need to be presented in chart, thus brain memory should be used purely for execution.

Another problem is to choose correct tools and correct settings to use on charts that closely resemble the trading plan.

Once traders solved these interlink problems, their trading plan execution might improve.


Monday 22 February 2016

-11 tick.

Again, exactly opposite of the other side...
Despite that  I'm more confident to trade, therefore I bought Malkolm chair from Ikea,
This chair is quite hot after an hour but comfortable.
Another model is better..Markus that has mesh string at the back but the price is double and I'm a cheapskate at this moment.

Friday 19 February 2016

+ 3 and the wife

My Wife came to the trading room again and discussed something internal matters.
Of course I got distraced as I cant divide the attention...I missed that 2nd chance of 25tick move, once in blue moon nowdays.
The pattern so predictable, so next time I will proceed the button no matter what if I get the signals.

Wednesday 17 February 2016

Ugly Chart

An Ugly chart - and no signals ..
abandon ship

Choppy

Post Presidents Day and New contract coming made choppy movement.
Waited at the screen with my mouth gaping open waiting for That Trigger that finally never came.
Will try again on Wed as EIA will be on Thu this week

Thursday 28 January 2016

Fence sitters

No clear cut signal that lead to the top in my 2 regular charts
But after I saw the my biggest timeframe chart, it is too late to catch the jump.
( I should looked the biggest 1st)
One interesting note that I was  looking at DOM, nearly 10x orders sell stop before the jump - one Even number. (forgot)
Before, I'm I am one of them - the fence sitters
Now, I take no position at the wrong side.
Anybody that catched that big jump is a skilled trader.
Hopefully, in the future, I will at the right side of the force.

Monday 25 January 2016

-14


Add 1 feature that not passed the live test -removed it back
Look for 2wave or 2nd break - more reliable

Friday 22 January 2016

Wednesday 20 January 2016

+7 on Wed

Long at breakout but then had big MAE nearing my stoploss. Stay in position because I sticked to my biggest rule (that been broken 2 times before this) . Turnout the breakout is faked as it failed to proceed quickly. This time i decided to follow POP rule and took in the fishes. Followed both tech and mental rule . So I deserved my reward 7t and close PC.
No trade tomorrow Thu - EIA

post trade - price down

Tuesday 19 January 2016

Friday 15 January 2016

Live - No trade

The chart is  like crocs.
The devil is in the details.
After reading the details...too risky. So c u next week Tuesday.

Thursday 14 January 2016

Tuesday 12 January 2016

--11 ticks

Took a weak signal in the compression zone, and my position is compressed -11 ticks.
Plenty of better places later but already close pc.
Its all in the mind.
Hunting mind to be developed, not foot soldiers.

Monday 11 January 2016

Live - no trade

Price trapped at the bottom pit...and shrinking volume.
Off pc.

ps..after session: price narrowing for another 1 hour after pc close and then moving south again.

Thursday 7 January 2016

See Saw...

Market want to go up..
Different condition called for different trigger tactic
but remain the same for general long term strategy
in SIM mode testing it.

Monday 4 January 2016